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Red31
317911.7
216512.2
3113.3
Blue41
509815.3
233314.7
689117.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38461020305060703141

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31
#28
13.30.5
12.511.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End2.2
blue by 4.5
6891
#23
17.80.3
15.515.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End4.1
Second
2165
#36
12.20.5
13.212.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End1.6
blue by 3.1
5098
#15
15.30.3
12.512.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.1
End3.4
Third
3179
#40
11.70.5
10.29.6
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End4.1
blue by 3.0
2333
#43
14.70.3
15.615.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed11%HAB Docking oddsMissed