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Red32
359313.0
272316.3
495910.6
Blue39
175011.1
237314.3
279513.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4541102030506070803239

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2723
#19
16.31.2
16.014.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.9
End3.4
red by 2.0
2373
#31
14.30.3
15.615.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.1
Second
3593
#32
13.01.2
14.813.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.9
End1.9
blue by 0.8
2795
#48
13.80.3
11.811.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End4.3
Third
4959
#54
10.61.2
11.710.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 0.5
1750
#52
11.10.3
11.311.0
Auto4.0
Teleop5.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
14%HAB Docking oddsMissed7%HAB Docking oddsMissed