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Red78
452320.4
279513.8
161928.7
Blue55
345714.7
400524.9
237314.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5854203040507080907855

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.72.1
25.928.0
Auto5.1
Teleop13.9
End9.7
red by 3.8
4005
#17
24.90.3
22.422.7
Auto4.0
Teleop17.7
End3.1
Second
20.42.2
17.619.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.8
End5.2
red by 5.7
3457
#27
14.70.4
13.413.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End3.3
Third
2795
#48
13.82.2
11.513.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End4.3
blue by 0.5
2373
#31
14.30.4
15.315.7
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned17%HAB Docking oddsMissed