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Red44
239512.3
680914.3
246117.5
Blue36
346511.8
393117.5
646412.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434420304050604436

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2461
#18
17.50.4
16.617.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End2.1
Level
3931
#55
17.50.6
17.817.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End3.0
Second
6809
#41
14.30.4
12.212.6
Auto3.6
Teleop8.0
End2.8
red by 2.1
6464
#39
12.20.6
12.712.1
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End3.2
Third
2395
#47
12.30.4
11.712.1
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End1.3
red by 0.4
3465
#56
11.80.6
11.410.8
Auto3.9
Teleop5.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
6%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed