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Red39
555014.0
747311.6
646412.2
Blue58
299623.6
452320.4
588914.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396320305070803958

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5550
#22
14.00.2
13.914.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End2.3
blue by 9.6
23.60.4
23.823.4
Auto4.3
Teleop16.0
End3.4
Second
6464
#39
12.20.2
12.112.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End3.2
blue by 8.2
20.40.4
20.920.5
Auto4.4
Teleop10.8
End5.2
Third
7473
#42
11.60.2
11.411.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.9
End2.1
blue by 2.9
5889
#13
14.50.4
14.614.2
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed