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Red43
235414.7
324716.2
315210.5
Blue49
234123.9
237314.3
24248.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415320305060704349

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.20.4
14.915.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End5.9
blue by 7.7
23.91.5
24.422.9
Auto6.3
Teleop12.9
End4.7
Second
2354
#10
14.70.4
14.114.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.6
End4.1
red by 0.4
2373
#31
14.31.4
15.714.3
Auto4.5
Teleop8.6
End1.1
Third
3152
#62
10.50.4
10.110.5
Auto1.4
Teleop6.0
End3.0
red by 1.6
2424
#20
8.91.4
10.38.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsEarned6%HAB Docking oddsMissed