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Red50
452218.9
241023.1
588914.5
Blue66
449920.7
141021.0
246117.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606540507080905066

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.2
23.323.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.7
End7.5
red by 2.1
21.00.1
21.922.1
Auto4.3
Teleop15.2
End1.5
Second
4522
#45
18.90.2
19.118.9
Auto2.9
Teleop13.8
End2.1
blue by 1.8
4499
#11
20.70.1
21.621.7
Auto4.9
Teleop10.9
End4.9
Third
5889
#13
14.50.2
14.714.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.0
End1.6
blue by 3.0
2461
#18
17.50.1
18.418.5
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End2.1