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Red71
490323.7
132525.6
766413.5
Blue54
401516.9
28815.4
775716.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65523040607080907154

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.2
25.325.5
Auto5.3
Teleop16.5
End3.7
red by 8.7
4015
#19
16.90.1
16.917.0
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End2.7
Second
23.70.2
23.423.6
Auto4.2
Teleop15.5
End4.0
red by 6.8
7757
#16
16.90.1
16.917.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
Third
7664
#13
13.50.2
13.213.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End2.1
blue by 1.8
288
#11
15.40.1
15.315.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.8
End3.5