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Red48
720015.0
79029.9
490323.7
Blue38
365525.0
35719.7
401516.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41502060804838

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.71.0
14.715.7
Auto4.2
Teleop15.5
End4.0
blue by 1.3
25.00.6
24.323.7
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End9.2
Second
7200
#15
15.01.0
14.615.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.0
End2.7
blue by 1.9
4015
#19
16.90.6
14.614.0
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End2.7
Third
7902
#24
9.90.6
9.610.2
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End1.0
red by 0.1
3571
#23
9.70.7
8.47.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed69%HAB Docking oddsMissed