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Red67
263418.9
447626.7
490323.7
Blue26
633111.8
720015.0
493811.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58452040801006726

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.8
23.524.3
Auto5.7
Teleop18.2
End2.8
red by 11.7
7200
#15
15.01.8
15.213.4
Auto4.3
Teleop8.0
End2.7
Second
23.71.3
14.916.3
Auto4.2
Teleop15.5
End4.0
red by 11.9
6331
#12
11.81.8
13.711.9
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End3.4
Third
18.91.3
16.517.8
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End4.4
red by 7.8
4938
#22
11.01.8
13.311.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed