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Red41
775716.9
493217.8
401516.9
Blue45
78111.9
646116.5
720015.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4441203050604145

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.80.0
15.415.3
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End6.7
red by 1.3
6461
#17
16.50.4
14.915.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End3.4
Second
4015
#19
16.90.0
16.516.5
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End2.7
red by 1.9
7200
#15
15.00.4
13.513.8
Auto4.3
Teleop8.0
End2.7
Third
7757
#16
16.90.0
9.69.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
red by 5.0
781
#21
11.90.4
10.410.7
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed