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Red39
277117.3
654411.6
633111.8
Blue51
79029.9
633617.2
468816.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4342303540455055603951

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#20
17.30.6
16.716.1
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Level
17.21.3
13.915.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End4.7
Second
6331
#12
11.80.6
11.010.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End3.4
blue by 4.8
4688
#14
16.61.3
16.117.4
Auto3.9
Teleop8.5
End4.1
Third
6544
#26
11.60.6
13.312.7
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End1.7
red by 1.8
7902
#24
9.90.8
9.710.4
Auto4.6
Teleop4.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed