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Red50
775716.9
447626.7
633617.2
Blue51
493811.0
493217.8
263418.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50422060805051

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.2
23.523.7
Auto5.7
Teleop18.2
End2.8
red by 7.8
18.91.2
14.415.6
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End4.4
Second
17.20.3
13.613.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.5
End4.7
blue by 0.5
17.81.2
13.014.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End6.7
Third
7757
#16
16.97.6
18.010.4
Auto5.0
Teleop10.3
End1.6
red by 5.8
4938
#22
11.01.2
12.814.0
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed28%HAB Docking oddsEarned