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Red73
646116.5
490323.7
24413.6
Blue56
28815.4
263418.9
493811.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514320306070807356

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.71.0
20.921.9
Auto4.2
Teleop15.5
End4.0
red by 4.8
18.91.0
18.019.0
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End4.4
Second
6461
#17
16.51.0
14.915.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End3.4
red by 1.2
288
#11
15.40.8
13.514.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.8
End3.5
Third
244
#10
13.60.8
12.313.1
Auto5.0
Teleop6.2
End2.4
red by 2.5
4938
#22
11.01.0
8.99.9
Auto4.7
Teleop3.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed