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Red51
654411.6
28815.4
648111.5
Blue69
490323.7
78111.9
493217.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375110203060705169

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
288
#11
15.41.0
14.315.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.8
End3.5
blue by 8.4
23.71.5
21.923.4
Auto4.2
Teleop15.5
End4.0
Second
6544
#26
11.61.1
10.511.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.3
End1.7
blue by 6.1
17.81.5
16.618.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End6.7
Third
6481
#25
11.51.1
10.711.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End2.3
blue by 0.4
781
#21
11.91.5
9.711.2
Auto4.9
Teleop4.0
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed24%HAB Docking oddsEarned