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Red69
490323.7
132525.6
766413.5
Blue39
263418.9
493217.8
720015.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66554050607080906939

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.2
25.325.5
Auto5.3
Teleop16.5
End3.7
red by 6.7
18.90.3
19.218.9
Auto4.5
Teleop10.0
End4.4
Second
23.70.2
23.523.6
Auto4.2
Teleop15.5
End4.0
red by 5.9
17.80.3
18.117.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.3
End6.7
Third
7664
#13
13.50.2
13.313.4
Auto3.9
Teleop7.5
End2.1
blue by 1.5
7200
#15
15.00.3
15.315.0
Auto4.3
Teleop8.0
End2.7