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Red64
299421.7
219814.7
567217.4
Blue60
752016.9
452521.1
107519.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52582040801006460

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2994
#33
21.71.0
20.921.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End6.3
red by 0.7
4525
#24
21.10.4
20.821.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.9
End7.2
Second
5672
#32
17.41.0
15.216.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.2
End3.8
blue by 2.0
1075
#36
19.30.4
18.218.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End9.2
Third
2198
#35
14.71.0
12.913.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.3
blue by 2.3
7520
#40
16.90.4
15.415.8
Auto4.7
Teleop9.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsEarned83%HAB Docking oddsEarned