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Red60
299421.7
502425.2
772217.5
Blue102
111440.9
18830.3
494629.8
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions729740608012014060102

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5024
#15
25.20.6
27.026.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End7.9
blue by 15.7
40.90.7
39.940.6
Auto4.8
Teleop26.5
End9.6
Second
2994
#33
21.70.6
21.821.2
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End6.3
blue by 8.6
188
#2
30.30.7
26.627.3
Auto4.1
Teleop18.7
End7.5
Third
7722
#21
17.50.6
19.819.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.7
End4.4
blue by 12.4
29.80.7
25.025.7
Auto4.8
Teleop17.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed67%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
95%HAB Docking oddsEarned99%HAB Docking oddsEarned