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Red62
493623.6
503621.1
478318.3
Blue75
494629.8
415226.8
583424.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6482401001206275

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4936
#29
23.60.1
23.023.1
Auto4.9
Teleop12.3
End6.5
blue by 6.2
29.80.2
25.725.5
Auto4.8
Teleop17.1
End7.9
Second
5036
#31
21.10.1
21.021.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End2.6
blue by 5.7
4152
#26
26.80.2
26.926.7
Auto5.4
Teleop15.7
End5.8
Third
18.30.1
16.216.3
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End3.8
blue by 5.9
5834
#16
24.10.2
24.724.6
Auto5.3
Teleop10.2
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned93%HAB Docking oddsEarned