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Red75
713619.4
219814.7
18830.3
Blue64
77118.4
107519.3
646120.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64602040801007564

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#2
30.31.0
27.328.3
Auto4.1
Teleop18.7
End7.5
red by 9.5
6461
#14
20.80.4
21.120.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End5.6
Second
7136
#28
19.41.0
18.819.8
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.0
Level
1075
#36
19.30.4
19.919.5
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End9.2
Third
2198
#35
14.71.0
14.515.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End2.3
blue by 3.8
771
#34
18.40.4
16.115.7
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
75%HAB Docking oddsEarned87%HAB Docking oddsEarned