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Red86
293519.7
85420.4
111440.9
Blue88
646120.8
124131.0
18830.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818340601001208688

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.2
40.040.2
Auto4.8
Teleop26.5
End9.6
red by 9.9
31.00.6
30.030.6
Auto4.6
Teleop22.1
End4.3
Second
854
#30
20.40.2
20.720.9
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End5.4
blue by 9.9
188
#2
30.30.6
28.328.9
Auto4.1
Teleop18.7
End7.5
Third
2935
#25
19.70.2
16.116.3
Auto4.2
Teleop10.9
End4.6
blue by 1.0
6461
#14
20.80.6
20.721.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
20%Rocket oddsEarned48%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
82%HAB Docking oddsEarned79%HAB Docking oddsEarned