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Red80
124131.0
503621.1
77219.6
Blue58
493623.6
373922.2
567217.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7964401001208058

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.00.3
31.631.9
Auto4.6
Teleop22.1
End4.3
red by 7.4
4936
#29
23.60.1
22.822.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.3
End6.5
Second
5036
#31
21.10.3
22.022.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End2.6
blue by 1.1
3739
#37
22.20.1
22.121.9
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End4.3
Third
772
#23
19.60.3
21.321.7
Auto4.0
Teleop9.3
End6.3
red by 2.2
5672
#32
17.40.1
15.415.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
21%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
49%HAB Docking oddsEarned44%HAB Docking oddsMissed