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Red64
702221.9
493623.6
107519.3
Blue69
85420.4
713619.4
86523.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67664060801006469

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4936
#29
23.60.0
23.523.5
Auto4.9
Teleop12.3
End6.5
red by 0.3
865
#18
23.30.4
22.522.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.7
End4.6
Second
7022
#10
21.90.0
20.520.5
Auto4.4
Teleop11.4
End6.1
red by 1.5
854
#30
20.40.4
20.721.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.9
End5.4
Third
1075
#36
19.30.0
19.619.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.0
End9.2
Level
7136
#28
19.40.4
19.620.0
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsEarned65%HAB Docking oddsMissed