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Red76
567217.4
111440.9
493918.9
Blue64
613523.3
77118.4
713619.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7964401001207664

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.3
39.639.3
Auto4.8
Teleop26.5
End9.6
red by 17.6
6135
#17
23.30.2
23.723.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End4.6
Second
4939
#27
18.90.3
17.417.1
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End4.5
blue by 0.5
7136
#28
19.40.2
20.020.2
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.0
Third
5672
#32
17.40.3
17.717.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.2
End3.8
blue by 1.0
771
#34
18.40.2
16.917.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
35%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
85%HAB Docking oddsEarned44%HAB Docking oddsMissed