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Red70
502425.2
493223.4
451919.1
Blue77
766420.9
111440.9
713619.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73854060801001207077

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5024
#15
25.20.1
25.926.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End7.9
blue by 15.7
40.90.2
39.739.5
Auto4.8
Teleop26.5
End9.6
Second
23.40.1
24.124.2
Auto5.2
Teleop10.2
End8.0
red by 2.5
7664
#20
20.90.2
21.120.9
Auto4.3
Teleop12.9
End3.7
Third
4519
#38
19.10.1
18.718.8
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End3.7
blue by 0.3
7136
#28
19.40.2
19.619.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed35%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
96%HAB Docking oddsEarned90%HAB Docking oddsEarned