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Red76
548322.9
613523.3
493623.6
Blue69
90718.3
124131.0
299421.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7380405060901001101207669

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4936
#29
23.60.4
23.223.6
Auto4.9
Teleop12.3
End6.5
blue by 7.4
31.01.9
31.529.6
Auto4.6
Teleop22.1
End4.3
Second
6135
#17
23.30.4
22.923.3
Auto5.1
Teleop13.6
End4.6
red by 1.6
2994
#33
21.71.9
23.721.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.5
End6.3
Third
5483
#22
22.90.4
23.323.7
Auto4.0
Teleop16.0
End2.8
red by 4.6
907
#19
18.31.9
20.218.3
Auto5.3
Teleop8.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsEarned74%HAB Docking oddsMissed