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Red105
124131.0
111440.9
77118.4
Blue77
494629.8
447626.8
451919.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91806010012010577

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.3
39.639.9
Auto4.8
Teleop26.5
End9.6
red by 11.1
29.80.1
29.929.8
Auto4.8
Teleop17.1
End7.9
Second
31.00.3
29.730.0
Auto4.6
Teleop22.1
End4.3
red by 4.2
26.80.1
26.926.8
Auto5.2
Teleop17.0
End4.5
Third
771
#34
18.40.3
17.117.5
Auto5.0
Teleop10.8
End2.7
blue by 0.7
4519
#38
19.10.1
19.219.1
Auto5.3
Teleop10.1
End3.7