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Red61
403925.6
461814.9
270223.3
Blue40
263422.5
492017.4
74618.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716340801006140

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4039
#17
25.60.4
29.629.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.4
End7.3
red by 3.2
2634
#23
22.51.5
22.320.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End5.0
Second
23.30.4
22.422.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.1
End6.4
red by 5.2
746
#29
18.11.5
20.118.6
Auto4.9
Teleop4.3
End9.0
Third
4618
#22
14.90.4
15.114.7
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End3.1
blue by 2.5
4920
#13
17.41.5
17.115.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
73%HAB Docking oddsEarned96%HAB Docking oddsMissed