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Red64
270622.6
687818.2
434320.5
Blue66
491421.0
403925.6
467826.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678140601006466

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#31
22.60.2
22.021.8
Auto4.3
Teleop14.8
End3.5
blue by 3.6
4678
#10
26.31.1
27.126.0
Auto4.9
Teleop13.3
End8.0
Second
4343
#27
20.50.2
19.719.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End5.7
blue by 5.1
4039
#17
25.61.1
27.426.3
Auto5.0
Teleop13.4
End7.3
Third
6878
#32
18.20.2
22.021.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.3
blue by 2.8
4914
#28
21.01.1
22.121.0
Auto5.0
Teleop11.6
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed96%HAB Docking oddsEarned