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Red65
614017.6
270223.3
571921.1
Blue64
614117.7
368334.8
136024.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65744060801001206564

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.2
22.222.4
Auto3.9
Teleop13.1
End6.4
blue by 11.5
34.80.4
34.734.3
Auto5.6
Teleop23.1
End6.1
Second
5719
#26
21.10.2
19.319.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End4.8
blue by 3.8
1360
#15
24.90.4
22.722.3
Auto3.9
Teleop16.2
End4.8
Third
6140
#25
17.60.2
19.920.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.6
End3.1
blue by 0.1
6141
#34
17.70.4
12.912.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsEarned23%HAB Docking oddsMissed