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Red68
238625.6
614117.7
747617.6
Blue43
461814.9
698715.4
614017.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64532040801006843

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.4
26.926.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End9.2
red by 8.0
6140
#25
17.60.5
19.218.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.6
End3.1
Second
6141
#34
17.70.4
15.715.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.8
End3.4
red by 2.3
6987
#16
15.40.5
17.116.7
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End5.6
Third
7476
#33
17.60.4
17.717.3
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End3.7
red by 2.7
4618
#22
14.90.5
14.113.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
83%HAB Docking oddsEarned34%HAB Docking oddsMissed