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Red76
403925.6
607017.8
491729.0
Blue77
136024.9
406924.3
238625.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717840601007677

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.2
25.926.1
Auto4.2
Teleop18.1
End6.7
red by 3.4
25.60.2
26.626.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End9.2
Second
4039
#17
25.60.2
25.025.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.4
End7.3
red by 0.7
1360
#15
24.90.2
24.224.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.2
End4.8
Third
6070
#40
17.80.2
16.616.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End2.7
blue by 6.5
4069
#18
24.30.2
23.323.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.3
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed9%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsMissed98%HAB Docking oddsEarned