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Red64
434320.5
238625.6
499218.1
Blue55
748015.9
468824.9
614017.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70632040801006455

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.60.2
26.826.6
Auto5.2
Teleop11.2
End9.2
red by 0.7
4688
#11
24.90.5
23.322.8
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End8.0
Second
4343
#27
20.50.2
20.820.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End5.7
red by 3.0
6140
#25
17.60.5
18.718.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.6
End3.1
Third
4992
#24
18.10.2
18.918.8
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End4.2
red by 2.2
7480
#36
15.90.5
17.517.0
Auto4.7
Teleop6.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsEarned65%HAB Docking oddsMissed