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Red90
607017.8
220031.0
270223.3
Blue66
467826.3
571921.1
780015.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73643040506080901009066

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.01.0
32.033.0
Auto4.1
Teleop19.4
End7.5
red by 4.8
4678
#10
26.30.4
27.527.8
Auto4.9
Teleop13.3
End8.0
Second
23.31.0
20.021.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.1
End6.4
red by 2.2
5719
#26
21.10.4
20.420.8
Auto5.4
Teleop10.9
End4.8
Third
6070
#40
17.81.0
16.817.8
Auto4.9
Teleop10.2
End2.7
red by 2.2
7800
#37
15.70.4
12.713.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed8%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
72%HAB Docking oddsEarned86%HAB Docking oddsEarned