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Red70
490322.5
747617.6
263422.5
Blue61
492017.4
406924.3
481421.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7069506080907061

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4903
#14
22.50.0
25.325.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.5
End6.0
blue by 1.8
4069
#18
24.30.3
23.423.1
Auto3.3
Teleop14.3
End6.7
Second
2634
#23
22.50.0
22.222.3
Auto5.3
Teleop12.2
End5.0
red by 1.4
4814
#39
21.10.3
24.624.3
Auto5.1
Teleop12.5
End3.4
Third
7476
#33
17.60.0
19.019.0
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End3.7
red by 0.2
4920
#13
17.40.3
17.317.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
38%HAB Docking oddsEarned88%HAB Docking oddsEarned