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Red82
406924.3
61029.5
270223.3
Blue86
468824.9
747617.6
403925.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions796740601008286

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#19
29.50.5
28.729.2
Auto4.3
Teleop18.2
End6.9
red by 3.8
4039
#17
25.61.5
24.526.0
Auto5.0
Teleop13.4
End7.3
Second
4069
#18
24.30.5
24.124.6
Auto3.3
Teleop14.3
End6.7
blue by 0.5
4688
#11
24.91.5
23.224.7
Auto5.3
Teleop11.6
End8.0
Third
23.30.5
22.022.5
Auto3.9
Teleop13.1
End6.4
red by 5.7
7476
#33
17.61.5
16.117.6
Auto4.7
Teleop9.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
12%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
97%HAB Docking oddsEarned85%HAB Docking oddsEarned