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Red38
99964.5
999412.5
686720.6
Blue66
607013.5
131027.0
270216.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437101001502002503866

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.2
21.821.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End6.0
blue by 6.3
27.00.7
28.027.3
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End9.1
Second
9994
#17
12.50.2
14.614.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End2.5
blue by 3.6
16.10.7
22.421.8
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End3.7
Third
9996
#20
4.50.2
4.03.8
Auto1.2
Teleop3.0
End0.3
blue by 9.0
6070
#13
13.50.7
16.415.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
15%HAB Docking oddsMissed73%HAB Docking oddsEarned