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Red48
752010.8
13349.9
686720.6
Blue45
77112.5
270615.1
999412.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52512030406070804845

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.2
21.621.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End6.0
red by 5.5
15.11.1
19.718.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.5
End2.0
Second
10.80.2
13.813.7
Auto4.1
Teleop5.0
End1.7
blue by 1.7
771
#15
12.51.1
15.514.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End2.8
Third
1334
#11
9.90.2
12.112.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End3.3
blue by 2.5
9994
#17
12.51.1
14.413.3
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed6%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed