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Red37
493914.1
607013.5
107511.2
Blue24
137413.3
13349.9
999412.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564901001503724

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4939
#18
14.11.1
16.315.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End4.8
red by 0.8
1374
#19
13.31.5
18.216.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.5
End4.9
Second
6070
#13
13.51.1
17.716.7
Auto4.5
Teleop7.8
End1.2
red by 1.0
9994
#17
12.51.5
16.014.4
Auto3.7
Teleop6.2
End2.5
Third
1075
#16
11.21.1
19.017.9
Auto3.9
Teleop0.5
End6.8
red by 1.3
1334
#11
9.91.5
12.711.2
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
79%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsMissed