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Red41
111435.1
260412.7
99866.3
Blue52
591217.6
633620.1
571916.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585740506070804152

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.0
35.135.1
Auto5.2
Teleop22.9
End6.9
red by 15.0
6336
#25
20.10.0
20.120.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End6.5
Second
2604
#27
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 4.9
5912
#15
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.7
End2.6
Third
9986
#30
6.30.0
6.36.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End2.3
blue by 10.3
5719
#16
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
37%Rocket odds2%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
53%HAB Docking odds37%HAB Docking odds