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Red44
99853.5
447627.5
99866.3
Blue52
762315.7
316114.5
540917.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395102060801004452

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#12
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto5.8
Teleop17.0
End4.7
red by 9.7
17.90.0
17.917.9
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End5.7
Second
9986
#30
6.30.0
6.36.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.5
End2.3
blue by 9.3
7623
#11
15.70.0
15.715.7
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End3.3
Third
9985
#14
3.50.0
3.53.5
Auto2.8
Teleop-0.5
End1.2
blue by 10.9
3161
#19
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket odds1%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
13%HAB Docking odds26%HAB Docking odds