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Red68
86519.5
316114.5
748016.9
Blue40
128519.3
750918.7
260918.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546001001506840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#13
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto4.4
Teleop12.3
End2.8
red by 0.3
1285
#20
19.30.0
19.319.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.8
End4.2
Second
7480
#29
16.90.0
16.916.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.8
End5.6
blue by 1.9
2609
#28
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End4.6
Third
3161
#19
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.1
End2.4
blue by 4.2
7509
#24
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket odds3%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking odds39%HAB Docking odds