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Red64
571916.6
86519.5
124119.0
Blue69
316114.5
499218.1
447627.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586301001502006469

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#13
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto4.4
Teleop12.3
End2.8
blue by 8.0
4476
#12
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto5.8
Teleop17.0
End4.7
Second
1241
#18
19.00.0
19.019.0
Auto4.0
Teleop10.7
End4.2
red by 0.8
4992
#21
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.9
End4.2
Third
5719
#16
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End3.1
red by 2.1
3161
#19
14.50.0
14.514.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket odds4%Rocket odds
HAB Docking
29%HAB Docking odds24%HAB Docking odds