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Red100
301523.1
571916.6
447627.5
Blue71
491729.9
633620.1
131027.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718105010015010071

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#12
27.50.0
27.527.5
Auto5.8
Teleop17.0
End4.7
blue by 2.4
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto4.4
Teleop18.7
End6.8
Second
23.10.0
23.123.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.8
End7.4
blue by 3.8
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto4.4
Teleop13.4
End9.1
Third
5719
#16
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto4.4
Teleop9.1
End3.1
blue by 3.5
6336
#25
20.10.0
20.120.1
Auto5.2
Teleop8.4
End6.5