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Red49
507618.9
607017.3
592114.2
Blue58
316114.5
490722.9
499217.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4449304060704958

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5076
#20
18.90.5
15.816.2
Auto4.6
Teleop11.5
End2.8
blue by 4.0
22.90.4
20.520.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End9.5
Second
6070
#28
17.30.5
13.113.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.0
End3.4
blue by 0.2
17.50.4
17.017.4
Auto4.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5
Third
5921
#17
14.20.5
13.313.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End2.7
blue by 0.3
3161
#30
14.50.4
8.48.8
Auto3.9
Teleop8.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
8%HAB Docking oddsMissed66%HAB Docking oddsEarned