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Red76
634213.5
205647.0
499217.5
Blue75
632318.2
220029.5
750918.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7760401007675

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.00.0
42.242.2
Auto5.5
Teleop30.7
End10.7
red by 17.5
29.51.2
26.727.9
Auto3.5
Teleop18.2
End7.7
Second
17.50.0
17.617.6
Auto4.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5
blue by 1.2
7509
#27
18.71.2
15.917.1
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End4.5
Third
6342
#34
13.50.0
12.812.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End2.6
blue by 4.7
6323
#10
18.21.2
14.715.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
40%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsEarned71%HAB Docking oddsEarned