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Red54
592114.2
702218.3
685415.7
Blue57
653712.3
63308.0
132530.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444820304060705457

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7022
#12
18.30.7
15.616.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End5.5
blue by 12.5
30.80.8
27.328.0
Auto5.8
Teleop20.3
End4.8
Second
6854
#25
15.70.7
11.111.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.5
End3.9
red by 3.3
6537
#32
12.30.8
11.211.9
Auto1.9
Teleop7.5
End2.9
Third
5921
#17
14.20.7
14.515.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End2.7
red by 6.2
6330
#33
8.00.8
7.27.9
Auto1.9
Teleop2.7
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed13%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
16%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsMissed