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Red31
697812.1
651314.2
477714.6
Blue43
592114.2
107519.0
503213.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475210203040607080903143

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4777
#18
14.60.9
14.413.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.9
blue by 4.5
19.00.4
19.519.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End8.6
Second
6513
#21
14.20.9
14.813.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End2.5
Level
5921
#17
14.20.4
15.214.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End2.7
Third
6978
#22
12.10.9
15.114.2
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End3.8
blue by 1.5
5032
#15
13.60.4
14.213.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsMissed75%HAB Docking oddsMissed