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Red70
702218.3
762315.7
477714.6
Blue59
499217.5
540636.0
697812.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions527130406080901001107059

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7022
#12
18.30.2
18.718.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End5.5
blue by 17.7
36.00.5
35.535.0
Auto5.7
Teleop20.0
End10.3
Second
7623
#11
15.70.2
15.916.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.0
End3.3
blue by 1.8
17.50.5
17.817.3
Auto4.8
Teleop9.3
End3.5
Third
4777
#18
14.60.2
14.614.8
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.9
red by 2.5
6978
#22
12.10.5
13.513.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed22%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
31%HAB Docking oddsEarned89%HAB Docking oddsEarned