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Red56
490215.9
503213.6
632318.2
Blue54
702218.3
600914.7
686514.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4849204060805654

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6323
#10
18.20.7
17.818.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.3
End3.1
blue by 0.1
7022
#12
18.30.3
18.018.3
Auto4.2
Teleop8.6
End5.5
Second
4902
#23
15.90.9
14.515.4
Auto4.2
Teleop10.0
End1.7
red by 1.2
6009
#16
14.70.3
14.414.7
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End4.9
Third
5032
#15
13.60.7
12.713.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.2
End1.6
blue by 0.6
6865
#19
14.20.3
13.914.2
Auto4.2
Teleop5.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
10%HAB Docking oddsMissed50%HAB Docking oddsEarned